The race for the T20 Women’s World Cup 2024 semi-finals from Group A is nearing its conclusion, with three teams still in contention: Australia, India, and New Zealand. While Australia has already secured its spot, the battle for the remaining place is intense.
India, with two wins and two losses, faces a tricky situation. Their fate hinges on the result of New Zealand’s final match against Pakistan. The Indian team bounced back from a crushing opening defeat to New Zealand by 58 runs, registering key wins against Pakistan and Sri Lanka. However, a subsequent loss to Australia left India needing a favorable outcome from the New Zealand-Pakistan match. Their chances of advancing stand at 20%, reliant on New Zealand’s performance and net run rate calculations.
New Zealand, with two wins and one loss, are in a more comfortable position. A victory in their final game against Pakistan would see them secure the remaining semi-final spot. Their strong performance against India and Sri Lanka, combined with a narrow loss to Australia, has bolstered their net run rate. They are now seen as the favorites to progress, with a 90% chance of making it through.
Pakistan, though technically still in the race, has a minimal chance of advancing. Their only win so far came against Sri Lanka, and losses to India and Australia have dented their hopes. They would need a comprehensive win against New Zealand and a significant swing in net run rate to stand any chance, leaving them with just a 1% chance of qualifying.
Meanwhile, Sri Lanka has already been eliminated from the tournament after losing all four of their group matches, including a heavy defeat to India.
With New Zealand holding the upper hand, the stage is set for a thrilling finish in Group A. India’s hopes are hanging by a thread, while New Zealand will look to secure their place in the semis with a final push.
Australia qualified, but India, New Zealand, and Pakistan vie for the last Group A semi-final spot.