Women’s World Cup 2025 qualification scenarios as four teams are in a battle for the only remaining semifinal spot.
After losing against Sri Lanka by seven runs on Monday, Bangladesh became the first team eliminated from the Women’s World Cup 2025. With seven league games left in the tournament, four teams are vying for the final berth after Australia, South Africa, and England have already advanced to the semi-finals.
India will go to the semi-finals if they defeat New Zealand on Thursday. India must hope that New Zealand loses to England before they defeat Bangladesh on Sunday if they lose to New Zealand.
Unless one of Sri Lanka and Pakistan doesn’t finish with six points, a washout versus New Zealand can potentially be a beneficial outcome for India, even if they lose to Bangladesh (and New Zealand lose to England).
India will advance to the semi-finals if both of their matches in Navi Mumbai are rained out, but only if England defeats New Zealand. In the aforementioned scenario, India will advance with a higher net run-rate if one of Sri Lanka and Pakistan are tied with India on six points.
A defeat would be the end of New Zealand’s World Cup campaign, so their next game against India will be crucial. New Zealand will advance to the semi-finals if they win their next two matches.
They will have to hope Bangladesh defeats India if New Zealand defeats India but loses to England. If Sri Lanka defeats Pakistan, they can also end with six points, and if Pakistan defeats both South Africa and Sri Lanka, they can finish with six points. However, New Zealand currently has a higher net run-rate.
Only if none of India, Sri Lanka, or Pakistan reach six points can New Zealand advance to the semi-finals if both of their remaining games are rained out.
Sri Lanka must defeat Pakistan and hope that India loses their next two games in order to get to the semi-finals. On the final day of the league stage, they will also need England to defeat New Zealand.
In the aforementioned scenario, Sri Lanka and New Zealand will be level on six points, but if they lose badly to Pakistan, they will fall behind on net run-rate.
Pakistan is still in the running for the semi-finals even though they haven’t won yet. They will need to defeat South Africa and Sri Lanka by sufficient margins to surpass New Zealand in net run-rate, and they will also need to hope that India loses both of their remaining games.